Tuesday, November 17, 2020 | 7:00 PM EST - 8:00 PM EST

Zoom Webinar | Amy Celico, Huang Yiping, Andy Rothman

Robust bilateral economic and trade ties have been the greatest source of strength and foundation for engagement in the U.S.-China relationship for decades. Yet in recent years those ties have been frayed by an ongoing trade war, the threat of decoupling, and a global economic and public health crisis brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic.

The National Committee held a conversation on November 17, 2020 with Amy Celico (Albright Stonebridge Group), Huang Yiping (Peking University), and Andy Rothman (Matthews Asia), moderated by NCUSCR President Stephen Orlins, to discuss the current trade tensions, prospects for economic growth during and after COVID-19, and the future of U.S.-China economic ties.

Amy Celico is a principal at the Albright Stonebridge Group (ASG) and leads the firm’s D.C.-based China practice, assisting corporate and non-profit clients develop and expand their business in China. Previously, Ms. Celico served as senior director for China affairs at the office of the U.S. trade representative and worked at the U.S. departments of commerce and state, including as a diplomat stationed in Beijing and Shanghai. Ms. Celico serves on the board of directors of the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations and is a senior associate (non-resident) at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
Ms. Celico earned a B.A. with honors in Asian studies from Mount Holyoke College and completed her M.A. in international economics and strategic studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. She is also a graduate of the Hopkins-Nanjing Center in China.
Dr. Huang Yiping is the Jin Guang Chair Professor of Economics, deputy dean at the National School of Development, and director of the Institute of Digital Finance at Peking University. He served as a member of the Monetary Policy Committee at the People’s Bank of China from 2015 to 2018. Currently, he is vice chairman of the council at the Public Policy Research Center and research fellow at the Financial Research Center, both at the Counselors’ Office of the State Council. He also serves as chairman of the Academic Committee of the China Finance 40 Forum and as a member of the Chinese Economists 50 Forum. He is editor of the China Economic Journal and an associate editor of the Asian Economic Policy Review. His research areas include macroeconomics, financial markets, and rural development.
Previously, Dr. Huang was a policy analyst at the Research Center for Rural Development of the State Council, research fellow and senior lecturer of economics at the Australian National University, General Mills International Visiting Professor of Economics and Finance at the Columbia Business School, managing director and chief Asia economist for Citigroup, chief economist for the Caixin Media Group, managing director and chief economist for emerging Asia for Barclays, and an independent director of China Life Insurance Ltd., Minmetal Trust Ltd., and Mybank.
Dr. Huang received his Ph.D. in economics from Australian National University, his master’s degree in economics from Renmin University of China, and his bachelor’s degree in agricultural economics from Zhejiang Agricultural University.
Andy Rothman is an investment strategist at Matthews Asia. He is principally responsible for developing research focused on China’s ongoing economic and political developments while also complementing the broader investment team with in-depth analysis on Asia. In addition, Mr. Rothman plays a key role in communicating the firm’s perspectives and latest insights into China and the greater Asia region to clients and the media.
Prior to joining Matthews Asia in 2014, Mr. Rothman spent 14 years as CLSA’s China macroeconomic strategist conducting analysis into China and delivering his perspectives to clients. Previously, Mr. Rothman spent 17 years with the U.S. foreign service in a diplomatic career focused on China, including experience as the head of the macroeconomics and domestic policy office of the U.S. embassy in Beijing. In total, he lived and worked in China for more than 20 years.
Mr. Rothman earned an M.A. in public administration from the Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs and a B.A. from Colgate University. Mr. Rothman is a proficient Mandarin speaker.
Stephen A. Orlins has been president of the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations since 2005. Prior to that, he was the managing director of Carlyle Asia and the chairman of the board of Taiwan Broadband Communications, one of Taiwan’s largest cable television and high speed internet providers. Prior to joining Carlyle, Mr. Orlins was a senior advisor to AEA Investors Inc., a New York-based leveraged buyout firm, with responsibility for AEA’s business activities throughout Asia. From 1983 to 1991, Mr. Orlins was with the investment banking firm of Lehman Brothers where he was a managing director from 1985 to 1991. From 1987 to 1990, he served as president of Lehman Brothers Asia. From 1976 to 1979, Mr. Orlins served in the Office of the Legal Advisor of the United States Department of State, first in the Office of the Assistant Legal Advisor for Political-Military Affairs and then for East Asian and Pacific Affairs. While in that office, he was a member of the legal team that helped establish diplomatic relations with the People’s Republic of China.
Mr. Orlins is a magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College and earned his law degree at Harvard Law School. He speaks Mandarin Chinese and is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations.

Speaker Materials

Amy Celico:

Trade and the Post-Covid Global Economy” event hosted by Amy Celico in CSIS

What to Expect From This Week’s U.S.-China Talks” news program featuring Amy Celico on Bloomberg TV

Best Frenemies: China, the US, and the Future of the 21st Century” event featuring Amy Celico at the Aspen Ideas Festival

Andy Rothman:

Lessons From China” analysis by Andy Rothman in Matthews Asia

Four China Trends” analysis by Andy Rothman in Matthews Asia

Matthews Asia Andy Rothman says China is headed for V-shaped recovery” interview featuring Andy Rothman on CNBC

Huang Yiping:

Domestic Consumption set to get Renewed Impetus” article featuring Huang Yiping in China Daily

China Revises Ceiling on Private Lending Interest Rates” article featuring Huang Yiping in CGTN

China 2049: Economic Challenges of a Rising Global Power” panel discussion featuring Huang Yiping in Brookings

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CHINA Town Hall: Society & Culture
Thursday, November 12, 7:00 p.m. EST
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CHINA Town Hall: U.S. Perspectives in Chinese
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CHINA Town Hall: Health & Climate
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